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accruals_quality_low on BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY CO (BDCO)

SIC 1311 — Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · CIK 793306 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when total accruals exceed 10% of total assets while net income is positive. Captures 'earnings of low cash quality' (Sloan accruals).

Every time the signal fired on BDCO

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20232024-04-012024-04-01+8.78%+15.08%+29.77%-22.71%-68.51%
FY20222023-04-032023-04-03-0.83%+6.61%-26.86%+83.88%+147.52%
FY20192020-03-302020-03-30+0.00%-3.51%-5.26%-12.28%+0.00%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d858-0.20%+45.45%short-0.29%33-0.04
5d857+1.15%+46.67%short-0.47%34-0.04
20d848+0.26%+46.93%short+0.13%38+0.01
60d798+9.36%+45.49%short-9.54%49-0.05
252d774+22.52%+48.71%short-22.54%99-0.11

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See accruals_quality_low methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/793306/financials