Interactive Market Data signal methodology
Audit-grade documentation for every tradeable signal — definitions, trigger logic, academic citations, live calibration grids (gross + net of execution costs), and known caveats — fully reproducible from public SEC data.
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accruals_quality_lowshort forensicFires when total accruals exceed 10% of total assets while net income is positive. Captures 'earnings of low cash quality' (Sloan accruals).
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beneish_m_score_highshort forensicBeneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
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capex_spikeshort stressFires on >50% YoY capex increase. Captures aggressive reinvestment phases — often precedes value destruction in mature industries.
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dividend_initiationlong eventFires when a company pays its first dividend ever. Signals management confidence in cash flow durability.
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dso_drift_severeshort forensicFires on Days Sales Outstanding rising >25% YoY while revenue grows <10%. Channel-stuffing / receivables-quality precursor.
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fcf_ni_divergenceshort forensicFires when free cash flow diverges substantially from net income — either NI >> FCF (low-quality earnings) or FCF >> NI (under-reported earnings).
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fcf_turn_negativeshort stressFires when previously-positive operating cash flow turns negative — the cash equivalent of profit_to_loss, usually more leading.
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fcf_turn_positivelong inflectionFires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.
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margin_compression_severeshort stressFires on >500 bps year-over-year decline in operating margin. Captures the 'good business getting worse' pattern.
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positive_eps_streaklong qualityFires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
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profit_to_lossshort stressFires when a previously-profitable company swings to net loss in the current fiscal year. Often early warning of structural problems.
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zombie_alertlong stressFires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.