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accruals_quality_low on Century Communities, Inc. (CCS)

SIC 1531 — Operative Builders · CIK 1576940 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when total accruals exceed 10% of total assets while net income is positive. Captures 'earnings of low cash quality' (Sloan accruals).

Every time the signal fired on CCS

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20212022-02-032022-02-03-4.77%-2.38%+2.02%-14.04%-4.09%
FY20182019-02-132019-02-13-3.93%-1.45%-2.89%+13.43%+54.42%
FY20152016-02-192016-02-19+2.03%+8.60%+18.73%+19.57%+60.38%
FY20142015-03-062015-03-06+8.28%+5.44%+9.67%+10.39%-11.22%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d858-0.20%+45.45%short-0.29%33-0.04
5d857+1.15%+46.67%short-0.47%34-0.04
20d848+0.26%+46.93%short+0.13%38+0.01
60d798+9.36%+45.49%short-9.54%49-0.05
252d774+22.52%+48.71%short-22.54%99-0.11

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See accruals_quality_low methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1576940/financials