← accruals_quality_low (all companies) · HGBL (all signals) · all methodology
accruals_quality_low on Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL)
SIC 7389 — Services-Business Services, NEC · CIK 849145 · default direction: short
Definition
Fires when total accruals exceed 10% of total assets while net income is positive. Captures 'earnings of low cash quality' (Sloan accruals).
Every time the signal fired on HGBL
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 2024-02-07 | 2024-02-07 | +0.71% | -1.79% | +4.64% | -12.86% | -18.21% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-17 | 2022-03-17 | -0.72% | -2.17% | -19.57% | -6.52% | +101.45% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-09 | 2020-03-09 | +11.49% | -8.05% | -4.60% | +70.11% | +237.93% |
| FY2011 | 2012-03-22 | 2012-03-22 | -16.59% | -2.44% | +2.44% | -31.71% | -51.22% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 858 | -0.20% | +45.45% | short | -0.29% | 33 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 857 | +1.15% | +46.67% | short | -0.47% | 34 | -0.04 |
| 20d | 848 | +0.26% | +46.93% | short | +0.13% | 38 | +0.01 |
| 60d | 798 | +9.36% | +45.49% | short | -9.54% | 49 | -0.05 |
| 252d | 774 | +22.52% | +48.71% | short | -22.54% | 99 | -0.11 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See accruals_quality_low methodology for the full audit.