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accruals_quality_low on NETFLIX INC (NFLX)

SIC 7841 — Services-Video Tape Rental · CIK 1065280 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when total accruals exceed 10% of total assets while net income is positive. Captures 'earnings of low cash quality' (Sloan accruals).

Every time the signal fired on NFLX

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20212022-01-272022-01-27-0.61%+4.89%+1.06%-45.72%-8.69%
FY20192020-01-292020-01-29+1.33%+7.73%+8.32%+23.85%+56.95%
FY20182019-01-292019-01-29+3.58%+8.18%+10.33%+11.99%+4.34%
FY20172018-02-052018-02-05+4.51%+1.45%+27.91%+23.24%+38.52%
FY20162017-01-272017-01-27-0.86%-1.54%+0.67%+6.82%+99.78%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d858-0.20%+45.45%short-0.29%33-0.04
5d857+1.15%+46.67%short-0.47%34-0.04
20d848+0.26%+46.93%short+0.13%38+0.01
60d798+9.36%+45.49%short-9.54%49-0.05
252d774+22.52%+48.71%short-22.54%99-0.11

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See accruals_quality_low methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1065280/financials