← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · BLBD (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)
SIC 3713 — Truck & Bus Bodies · CIK 1589526 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on BLBD
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2024-11-25 | 2024-11-25 | -5.00% | -2.59% | -9.29% | -15.41% | +21.92% |
| FY2022 | 2022-12-12 | 2022-12-12 | -16.68% | -13.36% | +17.49% | +66.88% | +108.18% |
| FY2021 | 2021-12-15 | 2021-12-15 | -3.61% | -7.78% | -0.37% | +21.34% | -34.85% |
| FY2018 | 2018-12-12 | 2018-12-12 | -0.23% | -4.62% | +14.43% | -2.37% | +17.26% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.