← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · CENX (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on CENTURY ALUMINUM CO (CENX)
SIC 3334 — Primary Production of Aluminum · CIK 949157 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on CENX
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-03-03 | 2025-03-03 | +1.33% | -7.88% | +3.00% | -10.49% | +196.50% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-27 | 2023-02-27 | +7.00% | +9.40% | -18.35% | -27.48% | -10.64% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | +7.51% | +11.55% | -14.96% | -14.23% | -53.12% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-07 | 2016-03-07 | -11.37% | -13.51% | -21.56% | -26.07% | +58.29% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-29 | 2012-02-29 | +3.16% | -10.49% | -11.00% | -28.11% | -20.26% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.