← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · DECK (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK)
SIC 3021 — Rubber & Plastics Footwear · CIK 910521 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on DECK
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 2023-05-26 | 2023-05-26 | +5.15% | +4.42% | +10.07% | +18.28% | +128.93% |
| FY2020 | 2021-05-28 | 2021-05-28 | +1.91% | -3.17% | +13.99% | +29.75% | -18.96% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-29 | 2012-02-29 | +5.15% | -9.91% | -14.35% | -24.93% | -36.66% |
| FY2010 | 2011-03-01 | 2011-03-01 | +1.10% | +4.94% | +1.77% | +7.32% | -10.64% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.