← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · FAST (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on FASTENAL CO (FAST)
SIC 5200 — Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply · CIK 815556 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on FAST
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 | 2020-02-06 | 2020-02-06 | -1.45% | +0.90% | -9.87% | -4.75% | +28.88% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-05 | 2018-02-05 | +1.84% | +1.50% | +8.47% | -4.87% | +21.68% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-05 | 2016-02-05 | +0.92% | -0.51% | +7.07% | +7.90% | +19.78% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-09 | 2011-02-09 | +1.16% | +1.57% | -0.96% | +7.14% | +57.46% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.