← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · FWDI (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on Forward Industries, Inc. (FWDI)
SIC 6199 — Finance Services · CIK 38264 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on FWDI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 2021-12-16 | 2021-12-16 | -8.05% | -8.05% | -8.05% | -12.64% | -34.48% |
| FY2018 | 2018-12-20 | 2018-12-20 | -11.11% | -4.44% | +6.67% | +12.59% | -23.70% |
| FY2017 | 2017-12-14 | 2017-12-14 | -7.41% | -4.44% | -2.22% | +12.59% | +4.44% |
| FY2014 | 2014-12-10 | 2014-12-10 | -2.78% | -13.89% | +6.48% | -25.00% | +55.56% |
| FY2012 | 2012-12-20 | 2012-12-20 | +4.17% | -0.83% | +49.17% | +68.33% | +21.67% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.