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beneish_m_score_high on G III APPAREL GROUP LTD /DE/ (GIII)

SIC 2300 — Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl · CIK 821002 · default direction: short

Definition

Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.

Every time the signal fired on GIII

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20192020-03-302020-03-30+6.21%+2.48%+53.10%+80.69%+312.69%
FY20172018-04-022018-04-02+3.29%+7.44%+1.64%+29.72%+11.56%
FY20132014-03-312014-03-31+4.51%-0.43%+1.41%+14.70%+57.38%
FY20122013-04-122013-04-12-4.06%-5.16%+7.09%+25.96%+82.85%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,937+0.04%+45.86%short-0.28%32-0.04
5d2,937+0.10%+45.83%short+0.06%33+0.01
20d2,915+2.64%+44.43%short-2.76%37-0.02
60d2,798+11.23%+46.71%short-11.63%47-0.03
252d2,745+47.23%+50.93%short-48.06%96-0.04

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/821002/financials