← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · MCHP (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INC (MCHP)
SIC 3674 — Semiconductors & Related Devices · CIK 827054 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on MCHP
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 | 2020-05-22 | 2020-05-22 | +6.88% | +9.03% | +18.11% | +22.25% | +77.55% |
| FY2017 | 2018-05-18 | 2018-05-18 | +1.09% | +3.24% | +9.53% | -9.40% | -10.11% |
| FY2013 | 2014-05-30 | 2014-05-30 | -0.74% | +2.21% | +2.23% | +1.00% | +6.29% |
| FY2011 | 2012-05-30 | 2012-05-30 | -0.89% | +1.28% | +3.80% | +11.38% | +22.62% |
| FY2010 | 2011-06-21 | 2011-06-21 | -0.73% | +0.62% | -11.26% | -5.86% | -6.02% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.