← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · MGPI (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI)
SIC 5180 — Wholesale-Beer, Wine & Distilled Alcoholic Beverages · CIK 835011 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on MGPI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | 2024-02-22 | 2024-02-22 | +2.01% | +8.95% | +8.27% | +2.18% | -58.04% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-24 | 2022-02-24 | -1.85% | +2.35% | +9.65% | +13.88% | +24.91% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | +0.21% | +4.33% | -15.61% | +25.30% | +136.97% |
| FY2011 | 2012-03-13 | 2012-03-13 | -2.36% | -8.69% | -22.98% | -34.89% | -27.85% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.