← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · NPK (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on NATIONAL PRESTO INDUSTRIES INC (NPK)
SIC 3480 — Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) · CIK 80172 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on NPK
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-13 | +5.93% | -1.47% | +9.40% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-14 | 2025-03-14 | -0.29% | +0.42% | -5.58% | +11.92% | +52.51% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-13 | 2023-03-13 | +2.54% | -1.48% | -4.07% | +10.82% | +9.95% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-11 | 2020-03-11 | -4.61% | -0.05% | +4.14% | +23.07% | +44.53% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-17 | 2014-03-17 | +0.90% | +0.86% | -6.40% | -12.06% | -21.54% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.