← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · POLA (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on Polar Power, Inc. (POLA)
SIC 3690 — Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies · CIK 1622345 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on POLA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | 2024-04-01 | 2024-04-01 | -6.00% | -8.00% | -28.00% | -20.00% | -40.29% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-31 | 2022-03-31 | +6.88% | +12.19% | -21.25% | -11.25% | -58.75% |
| FY2019 | 2020-05-14 | 2020-05-14 | -7.09% | +0.79% | +13.39% | +114.17% | +619.69% |
| FY2018 | 2019-04-01 | 2019-04-01 | -4.60% | -5.20% | -12.80% | -17.20% | -75.20% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.