← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · TGLS (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on Tecnoglass Inc. (TGLS)
SIC 3211 — Flat Glass · CIK 1534675 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on TGLS
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 | 2020-03-06 | 2020-03-06 | -6.08% | -23.14% | -44.74% | -7.04% | +94.16% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-14 | 2018-03-14 | +0.33% | +6.26% | -0.65% | +0.02% | -10.50% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-10 | 2017-03-10 | +2.58% | +2.12% | -1.16% | -15.23% | -10.87% |
| FY2015 | 2016-05-31 | 2016-05-31 | +1.04% | -0.17% | -1.90% | +8.04% | -11.97% |
| FY2013 | 2016-05-27 | 2016-05-27 | +4.23% | +7.03% | -3.15% | +13.06% | -8.15% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.