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beneish_m_score_high on THOR INDUSTRIES INC (THO)

SIC 3716 — Motor Homes · CIK 730263 · default direction: short

Definition

Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.

Every time the signal fired on THO

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20222022-09-282022-09-28-7.74%-3.15%+6.75%+3.07%+30.21%
FY20212021-09-282021-09-28+4.67%+1.21%-15.85%-18.64%-37.47%
FY20122012-09-262012-09-26+5.75%+3.34%+7.79%+15.25%+78.14%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,937+0.04%+45.86%short-0.28%32-0.04
5d2,937+0.10%+45.83%short+0.06%33+0.01
20d2,915+2.64%+44.43%short-2.76%37-0.02
60d2,798+11.23%+46.71%short-11.63%47-0.03
252d2,745+47.23%+50.93%short-48.06%96-0.04

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/730263/financials