← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · URG (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on UR-ENERGY INC (URG)
SIC 1040 — Gold and Silver Ores · CIK 1375205 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on URG
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +4.55% | +13.64% | -20.45% | +25.00% | +152.27% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | +0.00% | -4.05% | +10.81% | +9.46% | -37.84% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-02 | 2018-03-02 | +0.00% | -1.52% | -9.09% | +6.06% | +7.58% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-03 | 2017-03-03 | -8.33% | -4.17% | -8.33% | -25.00% | -8.33% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | +4.55% | +15.91% | +12.50% | +4.55% | -44.32% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.