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beneish_m_score_high on Wayfair Inc. (W)

SIC 5961 — Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses · CIK 1616707 · default direction: short

Definition

Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.

Every time the signal fired on W

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20212022-02-242022-02-24+3.24%-2.35%-4.49%-59.53%-69.17%
FY20192020-02-282020-02-28-2.28%-7.18%-26.75%+150.09%+431.01%
FY20152016-02-292016-02-29+3.23%+13.14%+11.19%+2.00%-2.98%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,937+0.04%+45.86%short-0.28%32-0.04
5d2,937+0.10%+45.83%short+0.06%33+0.01
20d2,915+2.64%+44.43%short-2.76%37-0.02
60d2,798+11.23%+46.71%short-11.63%47-0.03
252d2,745+47.23%+50.93%short-48.06%96-0.04

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1616707/financials