← dso_drift_severe (all companies) · OCLN (all signals) · all methodology
dso_drift_severe on ORIGINCLEAR, INC. (OCLN)
SIC 3559 — Special Industry Machinery, NEC · CIK 1419793 · default direction: short
Definition
Fires on Days Sales Outstanding rising >25% YoY while revenue grows <10%. Channel-stuffing / receivables-quality precursor.
Every time the signal fired on OCLN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 2023-04-17 | 2023-04-17 | +6.25% | +6.25% | +17.50% | +16.00% | +20.00% |
| FY2021 | 2022-04-07 | 2022-04-07 | +4.17% | +0.00% | -18.75% | -40.42% | -75.00% |
| FY2019 | 2020-05-29 | 2020-05-29 | -3.50% | -2.39% | +19.71% | -44.75% | +1.29% |
| FY2017 | 2018-04-17 | 2018-04-17 | -4.56% | +0.30% | +8.51% | -40.73% | -97.26% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,382 | +0.25% | +44.16% | short | -0.49% | 35 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,381 | -0.30% | +44.18% | short | +0.11% | 36 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,351 | +2.47% | +43.26% | short | -2.54% | 40 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,258 | +16.34% | +45.44% | short | -11.34% | 51 | -0.06 |
| 252d | 2,213 | +32.55% | +49.30% | short | -24.65% | 102 | -0.10 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See dso_drift_severe methodology for the full audit.