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dso_drift_severe on SUNation Energy, Inc. (SUNE)

SIC 1700 — Construction - Special Trade Contractors · CIK 22701 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires on Days Sales Outstanding rising >25% YoY while revenue grows <10%. Channel-stuffing / receivables-quality precursor.

Every time the signal fired on SUNE

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20242025-04-152025-04-15-50.00%-64.00%-73.75%-78.87%-82.00%
FY20212022-03-142022-03-14+0.51%+3.83%-40.05%-58.67%-80.48%
FY20202021-03-312021-03-31+2.01%+0.50%+12.92%+9.23%-50.62%
FY20182019-03-082019-03-08+0.00%+0.00%+0.72%+5.40%+81.14%
FY20152016-03-112016-03-11-0.43%+2.39%+2.69%+7.97%-31.45%
FY20122013-03-152013-03-15+0.59%+0.10%-3.37%+3.27%+23.47%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,382+0.25%+44.16%short-0.49%35-0.04
5d2,381-0.30%+44.18%short+0.11%36+0.01
20d2,351+2.47%+43.26%short-2.54%40-0.02
60d2,258+16.34%+45.44%short-11.34%51-0.06
252d2,213+32.55%+49.30%short-24.65%102-0.10

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See dso_drift_severe methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/22701/financials