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fcf_turn_negative on INTEGRATED BIOPHARMA INC (INBP)

SIC 2834 — Pharmaceutical Preparations · CIK 1016504 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when previously-positive operating cash flow turns negative — the cash equivalent of profit_to_loss, usually more leading.

Every time the signal fired on INBP

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20192019-08-292019-08-29-20.00%-20.00%-4.00%+4.00%+84.00%
FY20152015-09-042015-09-04-10.00%-10.00%+0.00%+0.00%+40.00%
FY20122012-10-152012-10-15-22.73%+9.09%+4.55%-27.27%-36.36%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,337-0.05%+42.62%short-0.14%35-0.02
5d2,337+0.06%+41.98%short+0.31%36+0.02
20d2,312-0.77%+42.08%short+1.36%40+0.08
60d2,192+1.98%+47.45%short-1.61%51-0.05
252d2,148+15.62%+50.33%short-16.85%103-0.17

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_negative methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1016504/financials