← fcf_turn_negative (all companies) · JAKK (all signals) · all methodology
fcf_turn_negative on JAKKS PACIFIC INC (JAKK)
SIC 3944 — Games, Toys & Children's Vehicles (No Dolls & Bicycles) · CIK 1009829 · default direction: short
Definition
Fires when previously-positive operating cash flow turns negative — the cash equivalent of profit_to_loss, usually more leading.
Every time the signal fired on JAKK
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-02 | -1.52% | -1.90% | -7.14% | — | — |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-16 | 2022-03-16 | +1.53% | +10.53% | +0.80% | -10.82% | +2.25% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-16 | 2018-03-16 | +0.00% | -6.82% | +6.82% | +29.55% | -52.73% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-17 | 2014-03-17 | +0.85% | +2.13% | +19.57% | +8.23% | -10.35% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,337 | -0.05% | +42.62% | short | -0.14% | 35 | -0.02 |
| 5d | 2,337 | +0.06% | +41.98% | short | +0.31% | 36 | +0.02 |
| 20d | 2,312 | -0.77% | +42.08% | short | +1.36% | 40 | +0.08 |
| 60d | 2,192 | +1.98% | +47.45% | short | -1.61% | 51 | -0.05 |
| 252d | 2,148 | +15.62% | +50.33% | short | -16.85% | 103 | -0.17 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_negative methodology for the full audit.