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fcf_turn_negative on LANTRONIX INC (LTRX)

SIC 3576 — Computer Communications Equipment · CIK 1114925 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when previously-positive operating cash flow turns negative — the cash equivalent of profit_to_loss, usually more leading.

Every time the signal fired on LTRX

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20222022-08-292022-08-29-2.15%-6.92%-26.31%-22.46%-38.92%
FY20192019-09-112019-09-11-0.87%-2.33%+3.79%-4.08%+38.48%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,337-0.05%+42.62%short-0.14%35-0.02
5d2,337+0.06%+41.98%short+0.31%36+0.02
20d2,312-0.77%+42.08%short+1.36%40+0.08
60d2,192+1.98%+47.45%short-1.61%51-0.05
252d2,148+15.62%+50.33%short-16.85%103-0.17

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_negative methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1114925/financials