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fcf_turn_negative on TILE SHOP HOLDINGS, INC. (TTSH)

SIC 5700 — Retail-Home Furniture, Furnishings & Equipment Stores · CIK 1552800 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when previously-positive operating cash flow turns negative — the cash equivalent of profit_to_loss, usually more leading.

Every time the signal fired on TTSH

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-262026-02-26-2.05%+2.34%-8.19%
FY20222023-03-022023-03-02+4.19%-4.79%-8.78%+2.00%+32.73%
FY20182019-02-262019-02-26+1.61%+0.14%-0.18%-24.66%-69.47%
FY20132014-02-282014-02-28+2.46%+10.70%-1.10%-1.95%-30.48%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,337-0.05%+42.62%short-0.14%35-0.02
5d2,337+0.06%+41.98%short+0.31%36+0.02
20d2,312-0.77%+42.08%short+1.36%40+0.08
60d2,192+1.98%+47.45%short-1.61%51-0.05
252d2,148+15.62%+50.33%short-16.85%103-0.17

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_negative methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1552800/financials