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margin_compression_severe on Mama's Creations, Inc. (MAMA)

SIC 2013 — Sausages & Other Prepared Meat Products · CIK 1520358 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires on >500 bps year-over-year decline in operating margin. Captures the 'good business getting worse' pattern.

Every time the signal fired on MAMA

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20222023-04-262023-04-26+4.79%+32.98%+34.57%+96.28%+219.15%
FY20202021-04-212021-07-19+6.64%+6.22%+11.20%-4.98%-45.23%
FY20182019-04-232021-07-19+6.64%+6.22%+11.20%-4.98%-45.23%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,429+2.00%+36.27%short-2.03%46-0.02
5d2,429+3.35%+38.74%short-2.80%47-0.02
20d2,364+6.26%+38.32%short-4.81%52-0.03
60d2,266+78.74%+40.47%short-75.14%65-0.03
252d2,195+41.39%+39.77%short-31.94%126-0.09

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See margin_compression_severe methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1520358/financials