← margin_compression_severe (all companies) · MVIS (all signals) · all methodology
margin_compression_severe on MICROVISION, INC. (MVIS)
SIC 3679 — Electronic Components, NEC · CIK 65770 · default direction: short
Definition
Fires on >500 bps year-over-year decline in operating margin. Captures the 'good business getting worse' pattern.
Every time the signal fired on MVIS
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-04 | 2026-03-04 | -29.49% | -26.92% | -16.67% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-26 | 2025-03-26 | -6.47% | -12.23% | -12.95% | -18.71% | -58.27% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | -2.12% | +0.85% | -22.03% | -51.27% | -47.46% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-02 | 2023-03-02 | +2.04% | -10.61% | +5.31% | +65.31% | -8.98% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-12 | 2020-03-12 | -10.00% | -10.00% | +5.00% | +410.00% | +8635.00% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | +6.31% | +2.70% | +0.90% | +55.86% | +9.01% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-08 | 2016-03-08 | -3.46% | -18.85% | -31.15% | -27.69% | -32.31% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,429 | +2.00% | +36.27% | short | -2.03% | 46 | -0.02 |
| 5d | 2,429 | +3.35% | +38.74% | short | -2.80% | 47 | -0.02 |
| 20d | 2,364 | +6.26% | +38.32% | short | -4.81% | 52 | -0.03 |
| 60d | 2,266 | +78.74% | +40.47% | short | -75.14% | 65 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,195 | +41.39% | +39.77% | short | -31.94% | 126 | -0.09 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See margin_compression_severe methodology for the full audit.