← margin_compression_severe (all companies) · UEEC (all signals) · all methodology
margin_compression_severe on United Health Products, Inc. (UEEC)
SIC 3842 — Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies · CIK 1096938 · default direction: short
Definition
Fires on >500 bps year-over-year decline in operating margin. Captures the 'good business getting worse' pattern.
Every time the signal fired on UEEC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 2023-03-28 | 2023-03-28 | -4.00% | -28.00% | -12.00% | +20.00% | -19.60% |
| FY2021 | 2022-04-01 | 2022-04-01 | +11.11% | +13.33% | +33.33% | -6.67% | -60.00% |
| FY2018 | 2019-04-01 | 2019-04-01 | -2.84% | -4.21% | -2.11% | -1.89% | -12.63% |
| FY2017 | 2018-04-17 | 2018-04-17 | -7.98% | -12.66% | -4.26% | -15.43% | -3.72% |
| FY2014 | 2015-05-06 | 2015-05-06 | -5.56% | +5.56% | -1.11% | +5.56% | +11.11% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,429 | +2.00% | +36.27% | short | -2.03% | 46 | -0.02 |
| 5d | 2,429 | +3.35% | +38.74% | short | -2.80% | 47 | -0.02 |
| 20d | 2,364 | +6.26% | +38.32% | short | -4.81% | 52 | -0.03 |
| 60d | 2,266 | +78.74% | +40.47% | short | -75.14% | 65 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,195 | +41.39% | +39.77% | short | -31.94% | 126 | -0.09 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See margin_compression_severe methodology for the full audit.