← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · AAON (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on AAON, INC. (AAON)
SIC 3585 — Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip · CIK 824142 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on AAON
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-02 | -8.98% | -13.75% | -25.22% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-27 | 2025-02-27 | -2.34% | +3.32% | +2.16% | +26.17% | +33.78% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | -3.36% | -6.79% | -0.17% | -12.16% | -15.09% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-27 | 2023-02-27 | +11.62% | +14.19% | +14.04% | +10.48% | +60.77% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | -2.36% | -7.29% | -10.89% | -12.93% | +55.68% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-25 | 2021-02-25 | +0.61% | -5.95% | -7.57% | -12.83% | -24.74% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | -4.48% | +1.77% | -15.94% | -10.23% | +34.73% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-28 | 2019-02-28 | +3.51% | +5.22% | +14.95% | +17.03% | +38.93% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | -4.92% | -6.99% | -1.68% | -19.79% | +4.08% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-23 | 2017-02-23 | +7.98% | +11.27% | +13.77% | +14.71% | +11.60% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-25 | 2016-02-25 | +2.17% | +3.93% | +10.28% | +12.08% | +42.40% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +2.49% | -2.62% | +5.55% | +7.69% | +11.17% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-13 | 2014-03-13 | +1.06% | +6.36% | -5.12% | +22.76% | +22.38% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-14 | 2013-03-14 | +0.11% | +3.94% | +7.43% | +21.29% | +59.93% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.