← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · AEO (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC (AEO)
SIC 5651 — Retail-Family Clothing Stores · CIK 919012 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on AEO
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-30 | 2026-03-30 | +3.79% | +7.89% | — | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-20 | 2025-03-20 | +2.36% | +0.59% | -8.22% | -17.10% | +47.85% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-11 | 2021-03-11 | +1.36% | +1.12% | +10.78% | +12.72% | -36.57% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-12 | 2020-03-12 | +12.98% | +2.57% | +7.72% | +46.09% | +237.42% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-14 | 2019-03-14 | -1.05% | -3.19% | +3.46% | -19.69% | -50.26% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-16 | 2018-03-16 | +0.41% | +0.72% | +11.53% | +26.38% | +8.92% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-10 | 2017-03-10 | -0.55% | -1.85% | -5.84% | -23.17% | +39.78% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-10 | 2016-03-10 | +1.59% | +1.59% | -6.37% | -2.86% | -8.09% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-11 | 2015-03-11 | +0.52% | -0.81% | +2.32% | -2.84% | -1.99% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-13 | 2014-03-13 | -0.93% | -0.85% | -10.88% | -15.03% | +39.64% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-12 | 2013-03-12 | +1.66% | -4.98% | -5.02% | -3.80% | -36.26% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.