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positive_eps_streak on AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER CO INC (AEP)

SIC 4911 — Electric Services · CIK 4904 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on AEP

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-122026-02-12+2.78%+2.33%+5.68%
FY20242025-02-132025-02-13+0.83%+4.30%+4.53%+0.89%+33.27%
FY20232024-02-262024-02-26+4.09%+5.18%+2.60%+15.80%+35.21%
FY20222023-02-232023-02-23-0.31%-3.00%-5.84%-3.71%-7.13%
FY20212022-02-242022-02-24+3.35%+8.57%+11.41%+16.09%+7.68%
FY20202021-02-252021-02-25-1.90%+1.25%+11.04%+14.53%+17.46%
FY20192020-02-202020-02-20-0.65%-10.28%-21.07%-22.71%-20.05%
FY20182019-02-212019-02-21+0.70%+0.00%+3.62%+6.65%+29.16%
FY20172018-02-232018-02-23-0.59%-3.25%-1.45%-2.49%+23.68%
FY20162017-02-282017-02-28-1.27%-1.09%+1.30%+5.73%+1.40%
FY20152016-02-242016-02-24+1.40%-1.78%+3.29%+2.21%+8.55%
FY20142015-02-202015-02-20+0.63%-1.94%-1.74%-3.93%+11.16%
FY20132014-02-252014-02-25+0.42%-0.02%-1.38%+3.07%+20.37%
FY20122013-02-262013-02-26+0.71%+2.87%+3.67%+5.89%+13.12%
FY20112012-02-282012-02-28-0.92%+0.61%+1.82%+0.78%+28.71%
FY20102011-02-252011-02-25+1.42%+0.14%-1.62%+10.20%+13.82%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/4904/financials