← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · AFL (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on AFLAC INC (AFL)
SIC 6321 — Accident & Health Insurance · CIK 4977 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on AFL
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | +1.36% | +0.04% | -4.65% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-26 | 2025-02-26 | +1.53% | +2.22% | +4.38% | -2.64% | +9.04% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-22 | 2024-02-22 | +0.95% | +1.37% | +6.74% | +10.95% | +36.79% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-02-24 | -0.50% | -0.19% | -8.30% | -2.28% | +19.76% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-23 | 2022-02-23 | -3.20% | -2.35% | +3.49% | -9.08% | +14.19% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-23 | 2021-02-23 | +1.20% | -1.26% | +0.49% | +13.86% | +30.47% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-21 | 2020-02-21 | -4.46% | -16.84% | -48.13% | -32.56% | -1.68% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-25 | 2019-02-25 | -0.10% | +0.20% | +1.14% | +6.66% | -0.54% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | +1.33% | -2.30% | -3.20% | +2.15% | +11.70% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-02-24 | +0.86% | +0.78% | +0.39% | +3.66% | +29.43% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-25 | 2016-02-25 | -0.27% | +1.08% | +3.93% | +14.61% | +21.72% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-26 | 2015-02-26 | +0.11% | +1.00% | +2.12% | +1.47% | -0.70% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-27 | 2014-02-27 | +1.10% | +2.90% | -1.75% | -2.68% | +0.72% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-27 | 2013-02-27 | +0.04% | +2.34% | +3.97% | +10.98% | +29.97% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-27 | 2012-02-27 | +0.41% | +0.71% | +0.34% | -13.45% | +10.11% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.