← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · AIR (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on AAR CORP (AIR)
SIC 3720 — Aircraft & Parts · CIK 1750 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on AIR
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-07-22 | 2025-07-22 | +0.56% | -3.68% | -6.53% | +4.78% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-07-19 | 2024-07-19 | +4.04% | +3.42% | -2.00% | -4.61% | +23.33% |
| FY2023 | 2023-07-18 | 2023-07-18 | -1.79% | -2.26% | -0.90% | +3.04% | +22.52% |
| FY2022 | 2022-07-21 | 2022-07-21 | -5.03% | +1.49% | +8.75% | -11.85% | +33.86% |
| FY2021 | 2021-07-21 | 2021-07-21 | -2.70% | -3.74% | -12.57% | -11.90% | +16.42% |
| FY2020 | 2020-07-21 | 2020-07-21 | -0.83% | -10.59% | -1.41% | +2.92% | +95.04% |
| FY2019 | 2019-07-18 | 2019-07-18 | +0.69% | +0.79% | -2.56% | -2.06% | -54.10% |
| FY2018 | 2018-07-11 | 2018-07-11 | +1.46% | +8.86% | +9.40% | +8.66% | -3.25% |
| FY2017 | 2017-07-12 | 2017-07-12 | +1.13% | -1.06% | -2.54% | +5.16% | +18.17% |
| FY2016 | 2016-07-13 | 2016-07-13 | +1.14% | +6.45% | +4.46% | +41.18% | +67.24% |
| FY2015 | 2015-07-15 | 2015-07-15 | -1.19% | -6.45% | -14.16% | -28.78% | -24.90% |
| FY2014 | 2014-07-17 | 2014-07-17 | +0.26% | -0.39% | -1.04% | -16.03% | +10.54% |
| FY2013 | 2013-07-26 | 2013-07-26 | -1.73% | -2.75% | +1.69% | +11.67% | +7.06% |
| FY2012 | 2012-07-19 | 2012-07-19 | +0.43% | -1.81% | -1.81% | +18.44% | +83.44% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.