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positive_eps_streak on ASSURANT, INC. (AIZ)

SIC 6399 — Insurance Carriers, NEC · CIK 1267238 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on AIZ

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-192026-02-19+0.62%+2.92%-4.96%
FY20242025-02-202025-02-20-0.47%+5.01%+5.51%+0.67%+10.38%
FY20232024-02-152024-02-15+0.70%+3.40%+5.01%+2.23%+17.79%
FY20222023-02-172023-02-17-0.65%-3.29%-15.56%-1.68%+34.86%
FY20212022-02-222022-02-22-0.92%+0.42%+9.23%+13.63%-20.98%
FY20202021-02-192021-02-19+2.90%-0.07%+16.54%+31.10%+36.30%
FY20192020-02-192020-02-19+0.63%-5.39%-42.59%-36.42%-10.91%
FY20182019-02-222019-02-22+0.73%+5.90%-3.84%-2.30%+42.39%
FY20172018-02-142018-02-14+0.48%-2.01%-0.21%-1.68%+12.19%
FY20162017-02-142017-02-14+1.05%+3.30%+4.52%+8.35%-3.82%
FY20152016-02-162016-02-16+2.97%+4.34%+17.82%+29.38%+45.19%
FY20142015-02-192015-02-19-0.26%+0.38%+0.79%+7.27%+17.30%
FY20132014-02-192014-02-19+0.49%+0.11%+2.64%+5.41%-2.67%
FY20122013-02-202013-02-20-0.17%-0.10%+8.42%+20.01%+58.18%
FY20112012-02-232012-02-23-0.32%+0.53%-7.15%-18.17%-3.42%
FY20102011-02-252011-02-25-0.02%-3.81%-2.90%-7.26%+7.39%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1267238/financials