← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · ALK (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC. (ALK)
SIC 4512 — Air Transportation, Scheduled · CIK 766421 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ALK
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-12 | -0.75% | -5.58% | -31.77% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | -0.53% | -4.52% | -27.19% | -27.54% | -26.27% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-14 | 2024-02-14 | +1.21% | +5.58% | +2.31% | +17.32% | +101.98% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-12 | 2020-02-12 | +1.46% | +0.29% | -46.17% | -53.97% | -11.48% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-15 | 2019-02-15 | -2.65% | -5.38% | -15.85% | -7.45% | +0.95% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-15 | 2018-02-15 | -1.34% | -1.32% | +1.00% | -8.81% | +0.07% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +2.47% | -2.76% | -1.52% | -13.26% | -32.95% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-11 | 2016-02-11 | +2.24% | +8.48% | +21.12% | +3.17% | +47.77% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-11 | 2015-02-11 | -2.73% | -2.43% | +4.36% | +3.06% | +4.94% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-13 | 2014-02-13 | +2.55% | +2.94% | +15.50% | +23.58% | +59.16% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-14 | 2013-02-14 | +0.55% | +4.29% | +21.62% | +35.33% | +68.28% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-21 | 2012-02-21 | -3.30% | -4.08% | -2.58% | -6.97% | +40.20% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.