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positive_eps_streak on Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY)

SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 40729 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on ALLY

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-252026-02-25+1.08%-2.60%-5.45%
FY20242025-02-192025-02-19-0.46%-5.65%-9.31%-7.72%+11.23%
FY20232024-02-202024-02-20-1.06%-0.25%+3.22%+12.88%+5.35%
FY20222023-02-242023-02-24-2.02%+1.03%-19.85%-10.01%+26.35%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25-1.13%-11.25%-11.17%-19.39%-38.23%
FY20202021-02-242021-02-24-4.01%+1.17%+1.83%+23.96%+15.00%
FY20192020-02-252020-02-25-0.54%-5.67%-45.35%-36.29%+68.77%
FY20182019-02-202019-02-20-0.59%-1.99%-2.47%+9.97%+10.63%
FY20172018-02-212018-02-21-1.83%-1.80%-3.31%-4.53%-2.96%
FY20162017-02-272017-02-27-2.39%-4.17%-15.32%-17.35%+23.23%
FY20152016-02-242016-02-24+1.11%+5.41%+5.70%-2.97%+36.32%
FY20142015-02-272015-02-27-2.94%+1.44%-1.06%+8.08%-15.40%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/40729/financials