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positive_eps_streak on AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP, INC. (AMG)

SIC 6282 — Investment Advice · CIK 1004434 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on AMG

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-172026-02-17+2.40%-6.46%-13.67%
FY20242025-02-142025-02-14+0.73%-2.46%-2.90%+7.29%+94.51%
FY20232024-02-162024-02-16-0.37%-0.03%+2.90%+1.47%+7.40%
FY20222023-02-172023-02-17-3.74%-5.32%-19.60%-15.88%-6.45%
FY20212022-02-182022-02-18-2.76%-2.25%+0.50%-8.85%+13.55%
FY20202021-02-192021-02-19+0.43%-1.74%+4.68%+12.89%-0.78%
FY20192020-02-282020-02-28+4.17%-6.29%-25.07%-6.94%+89.41%
FY20182019-02-222019-02-22+1.11%+1.28%-9.14%-18.50%-20.67%
FY20172018-02-232018-02-23+2.55%-1.33%-4.78%-12.04%-41.32%
FY20162017-02-242017-02-24+0.55%+0.43%-5.46%-8.24%+16.56%
FY20152016-02-252016-02-25+5.09%+15.13%+20.82%+26.90%+29.12%
FY20142015-02-232015-02-23+1.05%+0.99%+1.57%+3.93%-40.16%
FY20132014-02-272014-02-27+0.35%+4.31%-2.91%+1.31%+15.49%
FY20122013-02-222013-02-22-2.67%-0.24%+3.50%+14.26%+29.81%
FY20112012-02-232012-02-23+0.86%+1.72%+4.07%-5.64%+35.23%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1004434/financials