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positive_eps_streak on Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC)

SIC 1700 — Construction - Special Trade Contractors · CIK 1488139 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on AMRC

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20242025-02-282025-02-28-10.51%-6.02%+4.75%+20.25%+136.44%
FY20232024-02-292024-02-29-6.77%-3.10%+15.12%+62.02%-54.25%
FY20222023-02-282023-02-28+6.23%+4.00%+3.44%+0.89%-52.31%
FY20212022-03-012022-03-01+0.86%+19.43%+29.86%-15.21%-31.12%
FY20202021-03-022021-03-02-6.52%-24.29%-21.26%-5.57%+13.24%
FY20192020-03-042020-03-04-2.72%-19.69%-31.13%-7.34%+107.90%
FY20182019-03-082019-03-08-0.49%+6.22%+1.36%-9.43%+27.66%
FY20172018-03-072018-03-07+1.01%+15.58%+30.15%+20.60%+63.12%
FY20162017-03-032017-03-03+0.83%-6.67%+9.17%+10.00%+39.17%
FY20152016-03-042016-03-04+2.18%-2.38%-7.34%-7.14%+20.04%
FY20142015-03-062015-03-06-2.65%-2.23%+7.53%-0.84%-28.17%
FY20132014-03-172014-03-17+0.53%+4.81%-6.42%-4.81%-5.88%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1488139/financials