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positive_eps_streak on SMITH A O CORP (AOS)
SIC 3630 — Household Appliances · CIK 91142 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on AOS
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-10 | 2026-02-10 | -0.31% | -1.88% | -15.36% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-11 | 2025-02-11 | -1.09% | +2.11% | -0.50% | +3.62% | +23.16% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-13 | 2024-02-13 | +2.42% | +1.24% | +8.72% | +9.43% | -15.00% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-14 | 2023-02-14 | +0.82% | -2.98% | -1.20% | +1.82% | +22.12% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-11 | 2022-02-11 | -0.11% | -0.15% | -7.61% | -16.95% | -3.47% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-12 | 2021-02-12 | -2.07% | +2.45% | +8.13% | +17.85% | +19.99% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-24 | 2020-02-24 | -4.41% | -4.30% | -16.90% | -1.46% | +47.08% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-15 | 2019-02-15 | +0.68% | +3.29% | +0.89% | -6.10% | -13.17% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-16 | 2018-02-16 | -0.15% | +1.05% | -0.52% | -3.63% | -18.67% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-17 | 2017-02-17 | +1.41% | +3.11% | +5.14% | +10.19% | +33.33% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-17 | 2016-02-17 | -0.04% | +1.42% | +6.42% | +14.24% | +44.61% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-18 | 2015-02-18 | -0.06% | -0.08% | +3.27% | +10.65% | +10.80% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-20 | 2014-02-20 | -0.14% | +0.90% | -7.06% | -2.34% | +30.43% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-27 | 2013-02-27 | +0.25% | +2.70% | +3.10% | +9.48% | +40.60% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-27 | 2012-02-27 | -0.48% | -1.12% | -1.82% | -1.51% | +58.63% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.