← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · APEI (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC (APEI)
SIC 8200 — Services-Educational Services · CIK 1201792 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on APEI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 2022-03-02 | 2022-03-02 | -0.14% | +1.86% | +3.06% | -34.19% | -50.86% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-09 | 2021-03-09 | +8.95% | +24.90% | +25.62% | +3.02% | -25.08% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-10 | 2020-03-10 | -3.16% | +13.55% | +3.35% | +51.84% | +43.15% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-12 | 2019-03-12 | +3.98% | -3.12% | -0.77% | -11.51% | -37.22% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | +21.54% | +58.70% | +63.64% | +58.10% | +27.71% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-01 | 2017-03-01 | +1.46% | +0.00% | +7.80% | +10.98% | +38.29% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +21.91% | +41.93% | +39.60% | +77.51% | +56.51% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-26 | 2015-02-26 | -5.51% | -11.55% | -11.46% | -29.92% | -56.58% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-27 | 2014-02-27 | -23.42% | -20.00% | -24.97% | -23.24% | -29.95% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | -6.99% | -17.03% | -10.35% | -0.59% | -8.99% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | -5.25% | -7.48% | -7.98% | -31.04% | -12.41% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-18 | 2011-02-18 | -3.47% | -2.46% | -5.86% | -0.02% | -3.15% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.