← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · APT (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on ALPHA PRO TECH LTD (APT)
SIC 3842 — Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies · CIK 884269 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on APT
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-11 | 2026-03-11 | -5.25% | -12.01% | -13.32% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-12 | 2025-03-12 | +0.99% | +1.38% | -13.61% | -10.06% | -0.79% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-13 | 2024-03-13 | -4.90% | -2.61% | +2.12% | -20.42% | -16.50% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-16 | 2023-03-16 | -0.74% | +0.50% | -0.50% | -5.20% | +39.85% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-11 | 2022-03-11 | -2.27% | +12.34% | +8.31% | +14.86% | +0.00% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-10 | 2021-03-10 | +2.46% | +4.42% | -5.70% | -21.51% | -59.63% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-10 | 2020-03-10 | +23.89% | +34.20% | +33.77% | +15.09% | +10.53% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-06 | 2019-03-06 | +5.00% | +5.28% | -1.39% | -0.56% | +357.50% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-12 | 2018-03-12 | +2.99% | -2.99% | -1.49% | +0.00% | +13.13% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-08 | 2017-03-08 | -3.33% | -1.67% | -8.33% | -3.33% | +18.33% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-03 | 2016-03-03 | +3.05% | +8.54% | +14.02% | +51.83% | +92.07% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-06 | 2015-03-06 | -7.57% | -4.38% | -10.36% | -3.59% | -31.47% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-06 | 2014-03-06 | +0.91% | -5.91% | +3.18% | +4.09% | +14.09% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.