← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · ARCB (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on ARCBEST CORP /DE/ (ARCB)
SIC 4213 — Trucking (No Local) · CIK 894405 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ARCB
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | +5.12% | +8.54% | -0.96% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-03 | 2025-03-03 | -0.50% | -0.47% | -5.31% | -13.40% | +41.73% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-23 | -0.93% | +1.23% | -2.41% | -19.29% | -42.30% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-02-24 | +0.00% | +6.86% | -7.77% | -10.42% | +47.04% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | +3.26% | -2.43% | -4.06% | -22.57% | +7.80% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-02-26 | +6.34% | +12.54% | +19.88% | +31.21% | +52.71% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +1.21% | -0.91% | -2.17% | +11.22% | +220.00% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-28 | 2019-02-28 | +1.38% | -3.33% | -9.30% | -23.90% | -42.45% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | +0.15% | -1.51% | -4.98% | +45.56% | +7.47% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +4.43% | -3.92% | -11.93% | -35.66% | +14.19% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | -2.49% | +10.66% | +10.56% | -18.14% | +51.46% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.