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positive_eps_streak on ASTEC INDUSTRIES INC (ASTE)
SIC 3531 — Construction Machinery & Equip · CIK 792987 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ASTE
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-02-25 | +1.68% | +2.15% | -10.30% | — | — |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | -4.28% | -12.23% | -12.63% | -8.46% | -4.26% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | -0.67% | +2.27% | -4.34% | +0.52% | -31.19% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-01 | 2017-03-01 | -1.47% | -0.36% | -3.23% | -11.35% | -7.91% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +2.72% | +5.43% | +5.76% | +24.41% | +46.59% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | -0.26% | +0.05% | +1.75% | -0.49% | +5.87% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +4.18% | +12.12% | +11.63% | +1.69% | +8.75% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | -0.96% | +2.37% | -1.33% | +0.54% | +12.35% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-29 | 2012-02-29 | +0.37% | -5.40% | -1.08% | -24.90% | -4.16% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.