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positive_eps_streak on AUBURN NATIONAL BANCORPORATION, INC (AUBN)

SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 750574 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on AUBN

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-03-172026-03-17+5.29%-2.71%+1.23%
FY20242025-03-112025-03-11+0.00%+2.16%+1.52%+6.19%+20.68%
FY20232024-03-142024-03-14+2.75%-1.35%-8.52%-2.30%+13.76%
FY20222023-03-172023-03-17+3.06%+2.75%-1.95%-5.65%-12.14%
FY20212022-03-082022-03-08-2.69%-1.15%-0.10%-9.69%-25.75%
FY20202021-03-092021-03-09-2.08%-10.29%-19.44%-20.00%-27.85%
FY20192020-03-062020-03-06-6.36%-22.41%-26.34%-0.18%-9.55%
FY20182019-03-122019-03-12+1.95%+6.90%+15.48%+2.75%+46.44%
FY20172018-03-132018-03-13-0.19%+0.90%+6.64%+24.67%-2.93%
FY20162017-03-032017-03-03-1.06%-1.10%+0.70%+7.41%+15.09%
FY20152016-03-102016-03-10-0.45%-1.94%+4.40%+10.10%+24.56%
FY20142015-03-242015-03-24+0.40%-0.20%+0.40%+0.48%+12.12%
FY20132014-03-242014-03-24-0.91%-8.05%-7.41%-3.85%+2.24%
FY20122013-03-222013-03-22+3.69%+1.48%+2.31%+2.36%+20.61%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/750574/financials