← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · AWI (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES INC (AWI)
SIC 3089 — Plastics Products, NEC · CIK 7431 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on AWI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-24 | 2026-02-24 | -1.20% | -2.54% | -4.80% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | -0.71% | -2.69% | -4.58% | +2.05% | +15.37% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-20 | 2024-02-20 | +1.37% | +4.90% | +5.61% | +0.13% | +26.20% |
| FY2019 | 2020-07-28 | 2020-07-28 | -1.74% | -1.18% | +5.21% | -4.38% | +50.88% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-25 | 2019-02-25 | +0.76% | +1.85% | +1.90% | +21.39% | +44.36% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-26 | 2018-02-26 | +0.00% | +2.54% | -3.38% | +2.20% | +27.54% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-27 | 2017-02-27 | +2.56% | +4.01% | +0.56% | -3.90% | +31.77% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-22 | 2016-02-22 | -2.29% | +3.00% | +13.37% | +4.83% | +4.32% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-23 | 2015-02-23 | -0.55% | +1.88% | +2.61% | +2.32% | -31.28% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-24 | 2014-02-24 | +0.02% | -0.78% | +0.26% | -2.97% | +3.30% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-27 | 2013-02-27 | -0.04% | +3.62% | +8.39% | +3.34% | +8.58% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.