← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · BFH (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC. (BFH)
SIC 6141 — Personal Credit Institutions · CIK 1101215 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on BFH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-13 | +1.09% | -2.11% | -3.10% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-14 | 2025-02-14 | -0.74% | -11.15% | -23.15% | -11.30% | +20.63% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-20 | 2024-02-20 | -2.97% | -1.35% | +3.71% | +12.33% | +53.41% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-28 | 2023-02-28 | -0.34% | -8.60% | -30.56% | -27.54% | -4.24% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-02-25 | -0.30% | -9.86% | -11.75% | -25.94% | -38.07% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-02-26 | +3.21% | +7.51% | +22.99% | +22.82% | -11.30% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +0.22% | -15.45% | -57.53% | -42.15% | +17.77% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-26 | 2019-02-26 | -0.73% | -1.93% | -2.62% | -16.54% | -46.78% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | -0.59% | -3.01% | -9.60% | -11.14% | -27.79% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-27 | 2017-02-27 | -1.54% | -0.53% | -1.35% | -4.09% | -0.90% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-25 | 2016-02-25 | +0.04% | +2.01% | -0.39% | -2.91% | +15.71% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-02-27 | +1.36% | +0.23% | +6.19% | +6.91% | -24.55% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | -2.42% | +0.94% | -3.82% | -11.30% | -0.99% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | -0.07% | -0.13% | +2.02% | +14.46% | +79.66% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.