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positive_eps_streak on SAUL CENTERS, INC. (BFS)
SIC 6798 — Real Estate Investment Trusts · CIK 907254 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on BFS
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +0.44% | +0.88% | -5.11% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -1.87% | -1.07% | -3.77% | -9.43% | -0.89% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | +2.57% | +4.78% | +6.36% | +1.79% | +7.22% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-02 | 2023-03-02 | +0.52% | -6.05% | -6.56% | -14.54% | -2.36% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-24 | 2022-02-24 | +1.92% | +2.25% | +6.03% | -0.27% | -9.23% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-25 | 2021-02-25 | -2.91% | +2.47% | +8.31% | +17.28% | +31.65% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-27 | 2020-02-27 | -7.25% | -4.66% | -25.02% | -34.51% | -18.23% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-26 | 2019-02-26 | -1.09% | -1.67% | -12.69% | -3.21% | -13.08% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | -0.57% | +2.38% | +1.63% | -0.61% | +19.95% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-07 | 2017-03-07 | -0.80% | -3.02% | +0.30% | -6.41% | -16.45% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-04 | 2016-03-04 | -0.51% | -0.84% | +0.32% | +8.10% | +24.45% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-06 | 2015-03-06 | +0.39% | +4.18% | +5.07% | -3.16% | +0.16% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-10 | 2014-03-10 | -0.36% | +0.77% | -0.79% | +3.47% | +20.12% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-13 | 2013-03-13 | +0.02% | -0.24% | +5.14% | +6.85% | +13.01% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.