← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · BFST (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Business First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 1624322 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on BFST
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | -3.94% | -5.00% | -5.56% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-07 | 2025-03-07 | -3.92% | -2.52% | -12.78% | -5.18% | +8.58% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-01 | 2024-03-01 | -0.23% | +2.65% | -0.82% | -3.24% | +18.24% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-02 | 2023-03-02 | +1.99% | -8.07% | -16.14% | -25.42% | +11.89% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-01 | 2022-03-01 | +3.46% | -3.74% | -1.31% | -13.84% | -18.52% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-05 | 2021-03-05 | +1.48% | +2.54% | +4.95% | +3.51% | +8.64% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-12 | 2020-03-12 | -0.73% | -36.20% | -10.99% | +11.66% | +64.59% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-22 | 2019-03-22 | +5.67% | +8.63% | +8.85% | +12.01% | -55.78% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-21 | 2018-04-23 | +1.89% | -3.43% | -9.37% | -3.65% | -7.37% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-20 | 2018-04-23 | +1.89% | -3.43% | -9.37% | -3.65% | -7.37% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.