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positive_eps_streak on TopBuild Corp (BLD)
SIC 1700 — Construction - Special Trade Contractors · CIK 1633931 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on BLD
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | -4.21% | -12.76% | -25.68% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | -1.75% | -4.89% | +0.92% | -9.82% | +50.80% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | +2.77% | +5.16% | +11.99% | +2.55% | -24.37% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-23 | 2023-02-23 | +0.47% | +0.51% | -7.52% | +2.68% | +99.51% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-22 | 2022-02-22 | -10.74% | -3.40% | +0.87% | -12.62% | -6.54% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-23 | 2021-02-23 | +1.13% | -2.42% | -3.14% | +0.07% | +9.07% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-25 | 2020-02-25 | -4.66% | -5.89% | -34.99% | -10.40% | +78.57% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-26 | 2019-02-26 | +0.10% | +3.44% | +9.07% | +36.23% | +82.32% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | -3.40% | +5.33% | +5.88% | +17.03% | -17.46% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-28 | 2017-02-28 | +5.17% | +4.76% | +10.60% | +23.89% | +65.89% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.