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positive_eps_streak on Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)
SIC 5311 — Retail-Department Stores · CIK 1579298 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on BURL
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-19 | 2026-03-19 | -0.52% | +2.63% | +11.30% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-17 | 2025-03-17 | -0.09% | +6.17% | +2.29% | +1.99% | +28.33% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-15 | 2021-03-15 | -2.73% | -4.16% | +2.57% | -3.85% | -38.53% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-13 | 2020-03-13 | -29.83% | -26.51% | -11.52% | +13.22% | +68.90% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-20 | 2019-03-20 | -0.02% | +0.11% | +9.31% | +13.18% | -12.44% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-20 | 2018-03-20 | +1.68% | +1.36% | +6.82% | +20.14% | +16.19% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-16 | 2017-03-16 | +0.32% | -0.11% | -4.08% | +3.10% | +33.56% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-15 | 2016-03-15 | +1.11% | -0.85% | +4.13% | +18.65% | +75.62% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.